Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?

PM implied

29%$0.29/share

bid 4% / ask 54%

Current state

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deferred

Volume

$1.4k

24h $0

Closes in

192d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jan 1, 2027.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by: —
Resolution deadline: Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above.Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…

Δ 1h▼ 18.0%

Δ 24h▼ 1.0%

Δ 7d▲ 21%

Δ 30d▼ 14.5%

Open on Polymarket id 921957slug will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-10-gwei-before-2027