Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?

PM implied

11%$0.10/share

bid 4% / ask 17%

Current state

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deferred

Volume

$10.6k

24h $0

Closes in

192d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

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Recent trades

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Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jan 1, 2027.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by: —
Resolution deadline: Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above.Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d▼ 1.0%

Δ 30d▼ 6.5%

Open on Polymarket id 1091107slug will-a-coin-launched-in-2026-end-the-year-in-the-top-10